Key Issue News

May in the Balance


Power markets ended April broadly unchanged, settling into a more stable trading range and showing reduced sensitivity to headline-driven volatility. The month began with a fragile two-week ceasefire that provided some limited relief; however, negotiations in the region remain unresolved. Crucially, the Strait of Hormuz still remains restricted and the long term impacts of this are becoming increasingly apparent. Tensions escalated again toward the end of April, but warmer temperatures and stable wind forecasts helped to contain price volatility.

As summer approaches, market focus is shifting toward the refilling of gas storage, particularly in the context of constrained LNG availability. This constraint may persist, with approximately 15% of LNG cargo supply expected to remain offline until 2030 as a consequence of the conflict.

Power

Gas

UK and EU storage sits at 30% and 33% respectively with just one LNG cargo due to arrive to the UK in May. Despite the reduction in global LNG supply, European prices have remained relatively subdued, largely due to weaker demand from Northeast Asia. Buyers in that region have sought alternative supply sources rather than competing directly with Europe. However, price sensitivity is expected to continue, particularly if demand dynamics shift or supply disruptions intensify.

 


The Greenspan Agency produce this report on a best endeavours basis, and it has been supplied for your interest; this report should not be relied upon for decision making. If you have any queries about the content in this report, please contact hana@greenspanenergy.com

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